Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 22.271554 25.272729 28.543552 32.375335 36.744516 41.575073 47.326101
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 17.806044 21.679893 26.217176 31.932896 38.954656 47.316987 58.058488
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 14.873133 19.294093 24.819922 32.255134 42.032058 54.496767 71.670222
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 12.739960 17.536136 23.907454 33.029602 45.822445 63.224501 88.863500
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 10.866954 15.813929 22.773130 33.339718 49.092724 71.888678 107.706929
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 9.664793 14.831192 22.508269 34.841478 54.345599 84.312697 134.444770
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 8.414301 13.571196 21.638895 35.308826 58.170308 95.357474 161.413794
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 7.133933 12.052697 20.126921 34.509243 59.863176 103.390074 185.243561
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 6.174925 10.902491 19.026124 34.204382 62.347666 113.237375 214.360705
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.621342 10.359414 18.871984 35.537277 68.007701 129.800777 259.472839
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.197328 9.979839 18.948187 37.315156 74.860311 149.949299 316.139724
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.682514 9.343685 18.442379 37.883198 79.464541 166.630169 369.569703
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.044094 8.377480 17.173911 36.765067 80.572984 176.760002 412.206141
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.499237 7.513153 15.972609 35.580541 81.348172 186.447173 456.546133
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.118632 6.935421 15.281505 35.403133 84.405316 202.050500 519.418355
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.833191 6.520358 14.878756 35.822779 89.000639 222.397236 599.965671
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.555533 6.076510 14.337219 35.815018 92.575803 241.102392 681.471201
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.390906 5.873526 14.330096 37.147336 99.927853 271.362688 804.141556
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.185877 5.536525 13.939566 37.417628 104.521968 295.314229 915.375902
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.943018 5.062675 13.124159 36.390913 105.293031 308.733292 998.240043
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.756434 4.704971 12.550962 35.929195 107.622497 327.340666 1103.629491
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.661284 4.578581 12.579402 37.216684 115.553067 365.097456 1285.785203
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.590640 4.508717 12.753988 38.985531 125.440649 411.661898 1514.375976